Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004005 0.004382 0.004786 0.005252 0.005779 0.006356 0.007038
2025-10-26 0.003350 0.003870 0.004469 0.005215 0.006126 0.007214 0.008625
2025-11-02 0.002946 0.003526 0.004224 0.005137 0.006317 0.007813 0.009891
2025-11-09 0.002694 0.003315 0.004090 0.005148 0.006579 0.008489 0.011303
2025-11-16 0.002471 0.003110 0.003933 0.005093 0.006725 0.009003 0.012539
2025-11-23 0.002272 0.002913 0.003760 0.004990 0.006780 0.009375 0.013599
2025-11-30 0.002156 0.002817 0.003710 0.005044 0.007052 0.010083 0.015261
2025-12-07 0.002088 0.002776 0.003731 0.005196 0.007478 0.011065 0.017510
2025-12-14 0.001964 0.002647 0.003613 0.005129 0.007555 0.011493 0.018872
2025-12-21 0.001842 0.002513 0.003477 0.005020 0.007550 0.011780 0.020013
2025-12-28 0.001748 0.002413 0.003383 0.004966 0.007625 0.012205 0.021476
2026-01-04 0.001685 0.002354 0.003347 0.005002 0.007851 0.012916 0.023616
2026-01-11 0.001599 0.002260 0.003256 0.004946 0.007929 0.013399 0.025445
2026-01-18 0.001524 0.002178 0.003179 0.004911 0.008043 0.013971 0.027608
2026-01-25 0.001447 0.002089 0.003085 0.004839 0.008081 0.014393 0.029516
2026-02-01 0.001395 0.002035 0.003042 0.004849 0.008270 0.015146 0.032381
2026-02-08 0.001334 0.001964 0.002968 0.004798 0.008336 0.015647 0.034734
2026-02-15 0.001270 0.001884 0.002874 0.004702 0.008304 0.015931 0.036582
2026-02-22 0.001237 0.001853 0.002860 0.004753 0.008569 0.016912 0.040609
2026-03-01 0.001222 0.001850 0.002893 0.004893 0.009036 0.018431 0.046671
2026-03-08 0.001173 0.001790 0.002823 0.004831 0.009064 0.018906 0.049663
2026-03-15 0.001122 0.001722 0.002737 0.004731 0.008999 0.019141 0.051947
2026-03-22 0.001082 0.001672 0.002678 0.004680 0.009041 0.019654 0.055351